CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes CF Pachuca the pick at 40% for CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
CF Pachuca host Tigres UANL on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto. CF Pachuca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This apertura 15 fixture in Liga MX is listed as CF Pachuca - Tigres UANL. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
CF Pachuca: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 11 conceded in nine matches, 1.56 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +3.
Tigres UANL: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 21 conceded in 18 matches, 1.33 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | CF Pachuca | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 15th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDL | DLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.56 / 1.22 | 1.33 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.1 | 50.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: CF Pachuca 39.1 versus Tigres UANL 50.7, a gap of 11.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans CF Pachuca's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards CF Pachuca at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts CF Pachuca's way, especially at Estadio Hidalgo.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: CF Pachuca or Tigres UANL?
CF Pachuca, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% CF Pachuca, 27% the draw and 32% Tigres UANL.
When and where is CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have CF Pachuca and Tigres UANL met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of CF Pachuca and Tigres UANL?
CF Pachuca have taken 4 points from their last five (WLLDL), Tigres UANL 8 from theirs (DLDWW). Most recently CF Pachuca took a 2-1 win away at Club America and Tigres UANL a 1-1 draw away at U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
How many goals are expected in CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.80 for CF Pachuca and 0.60 for Tigres UANL. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.