Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas the pick at 66% for Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Atlante FC travel to Guadalajara Chivas on 1 November 2026 at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara. Guadalajara Chivas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 66%. This apertura 15 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Guadalajara Chivas - Atlante FC. Kick-off is 01:07 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Guadalajara Chivas: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 6 conceded in eight matches, 1.38 and 0.75 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +9.
Atlante FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 16 conceded in eight matches, 0.88 and 2.0 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.5 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Guadalajara Chivas | Atlante FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 16th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDDW | LWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 2 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.38 / 0.75 | 0.88 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 53.9 | 43.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 66% | 14% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Guadalajara Chivas 53.9 versus Atlante FC 43.5, a gap of 10.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Guadalajara Chivas' way at 68%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Guadalajara Chivas at 66%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Guadalajara Chivas's way, especially at Estadio Akron.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Guadalajara Chivas or Atlante FC?
Guadalajara Chivas, with an implied win probability of roughly 66%. The full split is 66% Guadalajara Chivas, 19% the draw and 14% Atlante FC.
When and where is Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara, kick-off 01:07 UTC.
Have Guadalajara Chivas and Atlante FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Guadalajara Chivas and Atlante FC?
Guadalajara Chivas have taken 11 points from their last five (WWDDW), Atlante FC 6 from theirs (LWLLW). Most recently Guadalajara Chivas took a 1-0 win away at Monterrey and Atlante FC a 0-1 defeat at home to Atletico San Luis.
How many goals are expected in Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.80 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0.60 for Atlante FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.