Monterrey vs Club Tijuana: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Monterrey the pick at 57% for Monterrey vs Club Tijuana. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Club Tijuana travel to Monterrey on 1 November 2026 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey. Monterrey are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This apertura 15 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Monterrey - Club Tijuana. Kick-off is 01:05 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Monterrey: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 19 conceded in 15 matches, 1.6 and 1.27 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +5.
Club Tijuana: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 9 conceded in nine matches, 1.11 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Monterrey | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDW | DWDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 15 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.6 / 1.27 | 1.11 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.6 | 1.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.6 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Monterrey's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Monterrey at 57%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Monterrey's way, especially at Estadio BBVA.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Monterrey or Club Tijuana?
Monterrey, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Monterrey, 21% the draw and 22% Club Tijuana.
When and where is Monterrey vs Club Tijuana being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey, kick-off 01:05 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Monterrey and Club Tijuana?
Monterrey 2-2 Club Tijuana on 01 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Monterrey and Club Tijuana?
Monterrey have taken 10 points from their last five (LWWDW), Club Tijuana 7 from theirs (DWDDD). Most recently Monterrey took a 0-1 defeat at home to Guadalajara Chivas and Club Tijuana a 1-1 draw away at Club America.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey vs Club Tijuana?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Monterrey and 1.40 for Club Tijuana. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.