Atlas vs CF Pachuca: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Atlas and CF Pachuca on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Atlas face CF Pachuca on 7 November 2026 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara. Atlas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This apertura 16 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Atlas - CF Pachuca. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Atlas: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 24 conceded in twelve matches, 1.58 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of 0.
CF Pachuca: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 11 conceded in ten matches, 1.7 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Atlas | CF Pachuca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 12th |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWD | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 9 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 12 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.58 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.58 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.3 | 49.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Atlas 58.3 versus CF Pachuca 49.8, a gap of 8.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Atlas' way at 52%.
The call
The model does not commit. Atlas is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Atlas's way, especially at Estadio Jalisco.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atlas or CF Pachuca?
Atlas, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Atlas, 24% the draw and 36% CF Pachuca.
When and where is Atlas vs CF Pachuca being played?
7 November 2026 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Atlas and CF Pachuca met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Atlas and CF Pachuca?
Atlas have taken 10 points from their last five (WWLWD), CF Pachuca 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Atlas took a 1-0 win away at Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca a 3-0 win at home to Tigres UANL.
How many goals are expected in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 2.20 for Atlas and 2.20 for CF Pachuca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.