Club Queretaro vs Puebla: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Club Queretaro the pick at 54% for Club Queretaro vs Puebla. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Puebla travel to Club Queretaro on 9 November 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro. Club Queretaro are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This apertura 16 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Club Queretaro - Puebla. Kick-off is 00:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Club Queretaro: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 16 conceded in nine matches, 1.0 and 1.78 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Puebla: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two draws before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 24 conceded in eleven matches, 1.18 and 2.18 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Club Queretaro | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | LLLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 13 | 6 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.78 | 1.18 / 2.18 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.11 | 0.73 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.2 | 30.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Club Queretaro 34.2 versus Puebla 30.2, a gap of 4.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Club Queretaro's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Club Queretaro at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Club Queretaro's way, especially at Estadio La Corregidora.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Club Queretaro or Puebla?
Club Queretaro, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Club Queretaro, 24% the draw and 22% Puebla.
When and where is Club Queretaro vs Puebla being played?
9 November 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Club Queretaro and Puebla?
Puebla 1-2 Club Queretaro on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Club Queretaro and Puebla?
Club Queretaro have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Puebla 2 from theirs (LLLDD). Most recently Club Queretaro took a 1-3 defeat away at FC Juarez and Puebla a 1-2 defeat at home to U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
How many goals are expected in Club Queretaro vs Puebla?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.80 for Club Queretaro and 1.20 for Puebla. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.