Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Levski Sofia the pick at 43% for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Levski Sofia travel to Arda Kardzhali on 24 October 2026 at Arena Arda, Kardzhali. Levski Sofia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 12 fixture in First League is listed as Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Arda Kardzhali: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -2.
Levski Sofia: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and no defeats from the last four, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored seven and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +19.
Side by side
| Statistic | Arda Kardzhali | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -2 | +19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDL | WWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 13 | 7 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.8 | 73.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 43% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Arda Kardzhali 37.8 versus Levski Sofia 73.1, a gap of 35.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.10, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Levski Sofia's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Levski Sofia at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Levski Sofia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arda Kardzhali or Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 33% Arda Kardzhali, 24% the draw and 43% Levski Sofia.
When and where is Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia being played?
24 October 2026 at Arena Arda, Kardzhali, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Arda Kardzhali and Levski Sofia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Arda Kardzhali and Levski Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali have taken 4 points from their last five (WLLDL), Levski Sofia 10 from theirs (WWDW). Most recently Arda Kardzhali took a 2-1 win away at Spartak Plovdiv and Levski Sofia a 2-1 win away at Plzen.
How many goals are expected in Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.10 — 1.50 for Arda Kardzhali and 1.60 for Levski Sofia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.