Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Botev Plovdiv the pick at 58% for Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Botev Plovdiv host Dunav Ruse on 6 November 2026 at Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv. Botev Plovdiv are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 13 fixture in First League is listed as Botev Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse. Kick-off is 17:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Botev Plovdiv: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded six, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +2.
Dunav Ruse: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.6 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Botev Plovdiv | Dunav Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWW | LWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 6 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.5 | 46.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 16% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Botev Plovdiv 65.5 versus Dunav Ruse 46.6, a gap of 18.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.25, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Botev Plovdiv's way at 59%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Botev Plovdiv at 58%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Botev Plovdiv's way, especially at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Botev Plovdiv or Dunav Ruse?
Botev Plovdiv, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Botev Plovdiv, 26% the draw and 16% Dunav Ruse.
When and where is Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse being played?
6 November 2026 at Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv, kick-off 17:15 UTC.
Have Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse?
Botev Plovdiv have taken 12 points from their last five (WLWWW), Dunav Ruse 10 from theirs (LWWWD). Most recently Botev Plovdiv took a 5-2 win away at Lokomotiv Sofia and Dunav Ruse a 0-1 defeat at home to Levski Sofia.
How many goals are expected in Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.25 — 2.50 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.75 for Dunav Ruse. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.