Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv match summary and prediction — First League
Our model makes Botev Vratsa the pick at 43% for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Lokomotiv Plovdiv travel to Botev Vratsa on 7 November 2026 at Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca. Botev Vratsa are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 13 fixture in First League is listed as Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Kick-off is 11:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Botev Vratsa: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored three and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.0 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLL | LDWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 6 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.0 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.25, over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Botev Vratsa's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Botev Vratsa at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Lokomotiv Plovdiv's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Botev Vratsa's way, especially at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Botev Vratsa or Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Botev Vratsa, 32% the draw and 24% Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
When and where is Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv being played?
7 November 2026 at Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
Have Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Plovdiv met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa have taken 4 points from their last five (LDWLL), Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8 from theirs (LDWWD). Most recently Botev Vratsa took a 0-1 defeat away at Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 0-3 defeat at home to Ludogorets.
How many goals are expected in Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.25 — 1.00 for Botev Vratsa and 0.25 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. It rates over 2.5 goals at 36%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.