Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Levski Sofia the pick at 40% for Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Levski Sofia face CSKA Sofia on 8 November 2026 at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia. Levski Sofia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in First League is listed as Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Levski Sofia: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 3 conceded in eight matches, 1.5 and 0.38 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.7 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +20.
CSKA Sofia: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 5 conceded in eight matches, 1.75 and 0.62 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.7 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +20.
Side by side
| Statistic | Levski Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +20 | +20 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWD | DWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 3 | 7 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 0.38 | 1.75 / 0.62 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Levski Sofia's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Levski Sofia at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Levski Sofia's way, especially at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Levski Sofia or CSKA Sofia?
Levski Sofia, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Levski Sofia, 30% the draw and 30% CSKA Sofia.
When and where is Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia being played?
8 November 2026 at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia?
Levski Sofia have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWWD), CSKA Sofia 8 from theirs (DWDWL). Most recently Levski Sofia took a 1-0 win away at Dunav Ruse and CSKA Sofia a 0-0 draw at home to Slavia Sofia.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for Levski Sofia and 1.80 for CSKA Sofia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.