CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes CSKA Sofia the pick at 62% for CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Slavia Sofia travel to CSKA Sofia on 31 October 2026 at Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia. CSKA Sofia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 14 fixture in First League is listed as CSKA Sofia - Slavia Sofia. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
CSKA Sofia: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +20.
Slavia Sofia: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | CSKA Sofia | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 8th |
| Goal difference | +20 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWLW | DWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 6 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 73.3 | 41.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: CSKA Sofia 73.3 versus Slavia Sofia 41.7, a gap of 31.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.90, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans CSKA Sofia's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards CSKA Sofia at 62%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts CSKA Sofia's way, especially at Balgarska Armiya Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: CSKA Sofia or Slavia Sofia?
CSKA Sofia, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% CSKA Sofia, 23% the draw and 15% Slavia Sofia.
When and where is CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia being played?
31 October 2026 at Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have CSKA Sofia and Slavia Sofia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of CSKA Sofia and Slavia Sofia?
CSKA Sofia have taken 10 points from their last five (WDWLW), Slavia Sofia 7 from theirs (DWLWL). Most recently CSKA Sofia took a 2-0 win at home to Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia a 0-0 draw away at Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.90 — 2.40 for CSKA Sofia and 0.50 for Slavia Sofia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.