Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Ludogorets travel to Lokomotiv Plovdiv on 31 October 2026 at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv. Ludogorets are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 14 fixture in First League is listed as Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.0 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Ludogorets: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWDW | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 1 | 16 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.0 | 61.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 43.0 versus Ludogorets 61.3, a gap of 18.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.53, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Ludogorets' way at 45%.
The call
The model does not commit. Ludogorets is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lokomotiv Plovdiv or Ludogorets?
Ludogorets, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 34% Lokomotiv Plovdiv, 30% the draw and 36% Ludogorets.
When and where is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWDW), Ludogorets 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Lokomotiv Plovdiv took a 0-0 draw at home to Slavia Sofia and Ludogorets a 0-2 defeat away at CSKA Sofia.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.53 — 0.33 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.20 for Ludogorets. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.