Dordrecht vs Almere City FC: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Dordrecht the pick at 51% for Dordrecht vs Almere City FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Almere City FC travel to Dordrecht on 25 September 2026 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. Dordrecht are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 8 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Dordrecht - Almere City FC. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Dordrecht: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 27 conceded in 17 matches, 1.29 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.0 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -12.
Almere City FC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 35 conceded in 20 matches, 2.05 and 1.75 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dordrecht | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -12 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 18 | 12 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.29 / 1.59 | 2.05 / 1.75 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.6 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.0 | 68.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 11% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Dordrecht 22.0 versus Almere City FC 68.0, a gap of 46.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 17 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.33, over 2.5 goals at 99% and both teams to score at 70%.
- First goal: Leans Dordrecht's way at 65%.
The call
The model tilts to Dordrecht at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Almere City FC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Dordrecht's way, especially at M-Scores Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dordrecht or Almere City FC?
Dordrecht, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Dordrecht, 38% the draw and 11% Almere City FC.
When and where is Dordrecht vs Almere City FC being played?
25 September 2026 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dordrecht and Almere City FC?
Almere City FC 4-1 Dordrecht on 17 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Dordrecht and Almere City FC?
Dordrecht have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Almere City FC 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Dordrecht took a 0-3 defeat away at FC OSS and Almere City FC a 1-0 win at home to Heracles.
How many goals are expected in Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.33 — 2.00 for Dordrecht and 2.33 for Almere City FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 99%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 70%, so its call is yes.