Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 47% for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Jong PSV U21 face Jong AZ on 14 September 2026 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 47%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 9 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Jong PSV U21 - Jong AZ. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Jong PSV U21: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 21 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.24 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +2.
Jong AZ: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 35 conceded in 17 matches, 1.65 and 2.06 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Jong PSV U21 | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDDW | LWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 10 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.41 / 1.24 | 1.65 / 2.06 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.2 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Jong PSV U21 52.2 versus Jong AZ 55.8, a gap of 3.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 35%.
- First goal: Leans Jong PSV U21's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Jong PSV U21 or Jong AZ?
Neither side. Our model splits it 30% Jong PSV U21, 47% the draw and 23% Jong AZ, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ being played?
14 September 2026 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Jong PSV U21 and Jong AZ?
Jong AZ 0-2 Jong PSV U21 on 13 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Jong PSV U21 and Jong AZ?
Jong PSV U21 have taken 8 points from their last five (LWDDW), Jong AZ 6 from theirs (LWWLL). Most recently Jong PSV U21 took a 0-1 defeat away at Helmond Sport and Jong AZ a 0-1 defeat away at Heracles.
How many goals are expected in Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Jong PSV U21 and 2.00 for Jong AZ. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 35%, so its call is no.