Den Bosch vs Dordrecht match summary and prediction — Eerste Divisie
There is barely anything between Den Bosch and Dordrecht on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Den Bosch face Dordrecht on 3 October 2026 at De Vliert. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 45%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 9 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Den Bosch - Dordrecht. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Den Bosch: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 39 conceded in 21 matches, 1.48 and 1.86 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -5.
Dordrecht: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 27 conceded in 17 matches, 1.29 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Den Bosch | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 8 / 19 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.48 / 1.86 | 1.29 / 1.59 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.19 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.8 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Den Bosch 33.8 versus Dordrecht 32.2, a gap of 1.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.25, over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 43%.
- First goal: Leans Den Bosch's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Den Bosch or Dordrecht?
Neither side. Our model splits it 41% Den Bosch, 45% the draw and 14% Dordrecht, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Den Bosch vs Dordrecht being played?
3 October 2026 at De Vliert, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Den Bosch and Dordrecht?
Dordrecht 3-2 Den Bosch on 23 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Den Bosch and Dordrecht?
Den Bosch have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Dordrecht 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Den Bosch took a 0-1 defeat away at De Graafschap and Dordrecht a 3-2 win at home to Almere City FC.
How many goals are expected in Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.25 — 1.25 for Den Bosch and 2.00 for Dordrecht. It rates over 2.5 goals at 77%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 43%, so its call is no.