FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
De Graafschap travel to FC Eindhoven on 3 October 2026 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven. FC Eindhoven are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 9 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Eindhoven: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 1.47 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
De Graafschap: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 23 conceded in 16 matches, 2.0 and 1.44 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.2 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Eindhoven | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDL | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 5 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.47 / 1.65 | 2.0 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.35 | 1.62 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.3 | 42.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 13% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Eindhoven 47.3 versus De Graafschap 42.2, a gap of 5.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams to score at 37%.
- First goal: Leans FC Eindhoven's way at 67%.
The call
The model does not commit. FC Eindhoven is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Eindhoven's way, especially at Jan Louwers Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Eindhoven or De Graafschap?
FC Eindhoven, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% FC Eindhoven, 42% the draw and 13% De Graafschap.
When and where is FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap being played?
3 October 2026 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap?
FC Eindhoven 2-2 De Graafschap on 03 April 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap?
FC Eindhoven have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWDL), De Graafschap 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently FC Eindhoven took a 2-4 defeat away at NAC Breda and De Graafschap a 1-0 win at home to Den Bosch.
How many goals are expected in FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.75 for FC Eindhoven and 2.25 for De Graafschap. It rates over 2.5 goals at 25%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 37%, so its call is no.