FC OSS vs MVV match summary and prediction — Eerste Divisie
Our model makes a draw the pick at 45% for FC OSS vs MVV. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
MVV travel to FC OSS on 3 October 2026 at Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 45%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 9 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as FC OSS - MVV. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC OSS: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 29 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -5.
MVV: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 34 conceded in 16 matches, 0.88 and 2.12 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC OSS | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLW | WLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.41 / 1.71 | 0.88 / 2.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.24 | 0.81 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.8 | 47.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC OSS 43.8 versus MVV 47.6, a gap of 3.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 17 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.65, over 2.5 goals at 21% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans FC OSS's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards a draw at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC OSS or MVV?
Neither side. Our model splits it 40% FC OSS, 45% the draw and 15% MVV, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is FC OSS vs MVV being played?
3 October 2026 at Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC OSS and MVV?
MVV 0-2 FC OSS on 24 April 2026.
What is the recent form of FC OSS and MVV?
FC OSS have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLLW), MVV 7 from theirs (WLLDW). Most recently FC OSS took a 0-1 defeat away at Emmen and MVV a 2-0 win at home to Helmond Sport.
How many goals are expected in FC OSS vs MVV?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.65 — 1.25 for FC OSS and 1.40 for MVV. It rates over 2.5 goals at 21%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.