Den Bosch vs MVV: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Den Bosch and MVV on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Den Bosch host MVV on 23 October 2026 at De Vliert. Den Bosch are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Den Bosch - MVV. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Den Bosch: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 39 conceded in 21 matches, 1.48 and 1.86 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
MVV: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 34 conceded in 16 matches, 0.88 and 2.12 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Den Bosch | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDLW | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 5 / 16 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.48 / 1.86 | 0.88 / 2.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.6 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 12% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Den Bosch 57.6 versus MVV 32.2, a gap of 25.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.65, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Den Bosch's way at 66%.
The call
The model does not commit. Den Bosch is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. Den Bosch's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Den Bosch's way, especially at De Vliert.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Den Bosch or MVV?
Den Bosch, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Den Bosch, 42% the draw and 12% MVV.
When and where is Den Bosch vs MVV being played?
23 October 2026 at De Vliert, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Den Bosch and MVV met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Den Bosch and MVV?
Den Bosch have taken 10 points from their last five (WWDLW), MVV 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Den Bosch took a 2-1 win at home to FC OSS and MVV a 1-5 defeat at home to Heracles.
How many goals are expected in Den Bosch vs MVV?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.65 — 1.25 for Den Bosch and 1.40 for MVV. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.