FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FC Eindhoven the pick at 71% for FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Eindhoven face Jong PSV U21 on 23 October 2026 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven. FC Eindhoven are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 71%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV U21. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Eindhoven: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 1.47 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -8.
Jong PSV U21: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 21 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.24 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Eindhoven | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLW | DLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 11 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.47 / 1.65 | 1.41 / 1.24 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.35 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 71% | 5% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Eindhoven 36.3 versus Jong PSV U21 41.2, a gap of 4.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.25, over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 34%.
- First goal: Leans FC Eindhoven's way at 77%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards FC Eindhoven at 71%, a gap of 46 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Eindhoven's way, especially at Jan Louwers Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Eindhoven or Jong PSV U21?
FC Eindhoven, with an implied win probability of roughly 71%. The full split is 71% FC Eindhoven, 25% the draw and 5% Jong PSV U21.
When and where is FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 being played?
23 October 2026 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21?
Jong PSV U21 1-2 FC Eindhoven on 13 March 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21?
FC Eindhoven have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDLW), Jong PSV U21 5 from theirs (DLDLW). Most recently FC Eindhoven took a 0-1 defeat at home to Vitesse and Jong PSV U21 a 1-1 draw away at Roda.
How many goals are expected in FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.25 — 0.75 for FC Eindhoven and 1.50 for Jong PSV U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 36%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 34%, so its call is no.