FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Jong Utrecht travel to FC Volendam on 23 October 2026 at Kras Stadion, Volendam. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 12 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as FC Volendam - Jong Utrecht. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Volendam: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 23 conceded in 17 matches, 0.65 and 1.35 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +5.
Jong Utrecht: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.31 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.6 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Volendam | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 20th |
| Goal difference | +5 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWL | LLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 11 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.65 / 1.35 | 1.31 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.6 | 46.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 13% | 39% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Volendam 49.6 versus Jong Utrecht 46.6, a gap of 3.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 98% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Jong Utrecht's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards a draw at 48%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Volendam's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Volendam or Jong Utrecht?
Neither side. Our model splits it 13% FC Volendam, 48% the draw and 39% Jong Utrecht, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht being played?
23 October 2026 at Kras Stadion, Volendam, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have FC Volendam and Jong Utrecht met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Volendam and Jong Utrecht?
FC Volendam have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLWL), Jong Utrecht 7 from theirs (LLWWD). Most recently FC Volendam took a 1-1 draw away at Waalwijk and Jong Utrecht a 1-2 defeat away at De Graafschap.
How many goals are expected in FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 2.00 for FC Volendam and 2.80 for Jong Utrecht. It rates over 2.5 goals at 98%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.