Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Dordrecht the pick at 47% for Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Dordrecht face VVV Venlo on 24 October 2026 at GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht. Dordrecht are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Dordrecht - VVV Venlo. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dordrecht: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 27 conceded in 17 matches, 1.29 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.1 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -13.
VVV Venlo: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.3 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dordrecht | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -13 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDWL | DWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 14 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.29 / 1.59 | 1.41 / 1.53 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.1 | 61.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Dordrecht 45.1 versus VVV Venlo 61.3, a gap of 16.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Dordrecht's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Dordrecht at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Dordrecht's way, especially at GN Bouw Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dordrecht or VVV Venlo?
Dordrecht, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Dordrecht, 22% the draw and 31% VVV Venlo.
When and where is Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo being played?
24 October 2026 at GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dordrecht and VVV Venlo?
VVV Venlo 3-1 Dordrecht on 19 December 2025.
What is the recent form of Dordrecht and VVV Venlo?
Dordrecht have taken 7 points from their last five (WLDWL), VVV Venlo 10 from theirs (DWWLW). Most recently Dordrecht took a 1-0 win away at Jong PSV U21 and VVV Venlo a 4-4 draw at home to Jong AZ.
How many goals are expected in Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Dordrecht and 2.20 for VVV Venlo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.