Emmen vs Den Bosch: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Emmen the pick at 59% for Emmen vs Den Bosch. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Emmen host Den Bosch on 30 October 2026 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen. Emmen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 13 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Emmen - Den Bosch. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Emmen: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 29 conceded in 15 matches, 1.2 and 1.93 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Den Bosch: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 39 conceded in 21 matches, 1.48 and 1.86 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Emmen | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 13th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDW | DWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 2 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.2 / 1.93 | 1.48 / 1.86 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.93 | 1.19 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.1 | 50.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 20% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Emmen 70.1 versus Den Bosch 50.9, a gap of 19.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Emmen's way at 60%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Emmen at 59%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Emmen's way, especially at De Oude Meerdijk.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Emmen or Den Bosch?
Emmen, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Emmen, 22% the draw and 20% Den Bosch.
When and where is Emmen vs Den Bosch being played?
30 October 2026 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Emmen and Den Bosch?
Den Bosch 1-1 Emmen on 30 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Emmen and Den Bosch?
Emmen have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWDW), Den Bosch 8 from theirs (DWWDL). Most recently Emmen took a 2-0 win away at Vitesse and Den Bosch a 2-2 draw at home to MVV.
How many goals are expected in Emmen vs Den Bosch?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 2.00 for Emmen and 0.80 for Den Bosch. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.