MVV vs VVV Venlo: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between MVV and VVV Venlo on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
MVV host VVV Venlo on 31 October 2026 at De Geusselt, Maastricht. VVV Venlo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as MVV - VVV Venlo. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
MVV: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 34 conceded in 16 matches, 0.88 and 2.12 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.6 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -11.
VVV Venlo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +14.
Side by side
| Statistic | MVV | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -11 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | LWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 15 | 13 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.88 / 2.12 | 1.41 / 1.53 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.6 | 61.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: MVV 35.6 versus VVV Venlo 61.8, a gap of 26.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans VVV Venlo's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. VVV Venlo is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. VVV Venlo's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: MVV or VVV Venlo?
VVV Venlo, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 39% MVV, 21% the draw and 40% VVV Venlo.
When and where is MVV vs VVV Venlo being played?
31 October 2026 at De Geusselt, Maastricht, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between MVV and VVV Venlo?
MVV 2-1 VVV Venlo on 13 March 2026.
What is the recent form of MVV and VVV Venlo?
MVV have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), VVV Venlo 10 from theirs (LWDWW). Most recently MVV took a 0-3 defeat at home to Excelsior and VVV Venlo a 0-2 defeat at home to Vitesse.
How many goals are expected in MVV vs VVV Venlo?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 0.80 for MVV and 2.40 for VVV Venlo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.