Jong Ajax vs Vitesse: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Jong Ajax and Vitesse on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Vitesse travel to Jong Ajax on 2 November 2026 at Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam. Vitesse are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Jong Ajax - Vitesse. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Jong Ajax: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 31 conceded in 17 matches, 1.24 and 1.82 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.9 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -11.
Vitesse: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 22 conceded in 18 matches, 1.72 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Jong Ajax | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLDL | WLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 13 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.24 / 1.82 | 1.72 / 1.22 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.9 | 38.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Jong Ajax's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. Vitesse is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Jong Ajax or Vitesse?
Vitesse, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 38% Jong Ajax, 22% the draw and 40% Vitesse.
When and where is Jong Ajax vs Vitesse being played?
2 November 2026 at Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Jong Ajax and Vitesse?
Vitesse 6-1 Jong Ajax on 06 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Jong Ajax and Vitesse?
Jong Ajax have taken 5 points from their last five (DWLDL), Vitesse 7 from theirs (WLWLD). Most recently Jong Ajax took a 3-3 draw away at FC OSS and Vitesse a 2-0 win away at VVV Venlo.
How many goals are expected in Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Jong Ajax and 1.00 for Vitesse. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.