Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Jong PSV U21 the pick at 52% for Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Jong PSV U21 host NAC Breda on 2 November 2026 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven. Jong PSV U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 13 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Jong PSV U21 - NAC Breda. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Jong PSV U21: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 21 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.24 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -2.
NAC Breda: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 0.94 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Jong PSV U21 | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDL | WDWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 6 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.41 / 1.24 | 0.94 / 1.65 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.2 | 62.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Jong PSV U21 41.2 versus NAC Breda 62.4, a gap of 21.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 66%.
- First goal: Leans Jong PSV U21's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Jong PSV U21 at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Jong PSV U21's way, especially at De Herdgang.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Jong PSV U21 or NAC Breda?
Jong PSV U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Jong PSV U21, 19% the draw and 29% NAC Breda.
When and where is Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda being played?
2 November 2026 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Jong PSV U21 and NAC Breda met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Jong PSV U21 and NAC Breda?
Jong PSV U21 have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLDL), NAC Breda 11 from theirs (WDWWD). Most recently Jong PSV U21 took a 7-0 win away at Ipswich Town U21 and NAC Breda a 3-1 win away at JOS Watergraafsmeer.
How many goals are expected in Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for Jong PSV U21 and 2.00 for NAC Breda. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 66%, so its call is yes.