Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Jong Utrecht the pick at 53% for Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dordrecht travel to Jong Utrecht on 2 November 2026 at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht. Jong Utrecht are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 13 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Jong Utrecht: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.31 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.0 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -12.
Dordrecht: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 27 conceded in 17 matches, 1.29 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.6 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Jong Utrecht | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | LLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 14 | 6 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.31 / 1.5 | 1.29 / 1.59 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.0 | 44.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Jong Utrecht 32.0 versus Dordrecht 44.6, a gap of 12.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 67%.
- First goal: Leans Jong Utrecht's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Jong Utrecht at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Jong Utrecht's way, especially at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Jong Utrecht or Dordrecht?
Jong Utrecht, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Jong Utrecht, 22% the draw and 26% Dordrecht.
When and where is Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht being played?
2 November 2026 at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Jong Utrecht and Dordrecht?
Jong Utrecht 3-1 Dordrecht on 20 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Jong Utrecht and Dordrecht?
Jong Utrecht have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Dordrecht 4 from theirs (LLWLD). Most recently Jong Utrecht took a 2-6 defeat away at FC Volendam and Dordrecht a 2-3 defeat away at SC Genemuiden.
How many goals are expected in Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 2.40 for Jong Utrecht and 2.00 for Dordrecht. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 67%, so its call is yes.