FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FC Eindhoven the pick at 51% for FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Eindhoven host Jong Ajax on 6 November 2026 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven. FC Eindhoven are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Eindhoven: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 1.47 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -10.
Jong Ajax: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 31 conceded in 17 matches, 1.24 and 1.82 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.9 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Eindhoven | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | DWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 12 | 6 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.47 / 1.65 | 1.24 / 1.82 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.8 | 38.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Eindhoven 25.8 versus Jong Ajax 38.9, a gap of 13.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans FC Eindhoven's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to FC Eindhoven at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Jong Ajax's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Eindhoven's way, especially at Jan Louwers Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Eindhoven or Jong Ajax?
FC Eindhoven, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% FC Eindhoven, 22% the draw and 27% Jong Ajax.
When and where is FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax being played?
6 November 2026 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax?
FC Eindhoven 2-1 Jong Ajax on 06 March 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax?
FC Eindhoven have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Jong Ajax 5 from theirs (DWLDL). Most recently FC Eindhoven took a 2-3 defeat away at Helmond Sport and Jong Ajax a 3-3 draw away at FC OSS.
How many goals are expected in FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 2.00 for FC Eindhoven and 1.20 for Jong Ajax. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.