Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Helmond Sport the pick at 57% for Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Helmond Sport face FC Volendam on 6 November 2026 at GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond. Helmond Sport are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Helmond Sport - FC Volendam. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Helmond Sport: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 15 conceded in six matches, 3.0 and 2.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -5.
FC Volendam: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 18 conceded in seven matches, 2.57 and 2.57 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Helmond Sport | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -5 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | LLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 16 | 13 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 3.0 / 2.5 | 2.57 / 2.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.1 | 50.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 23% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Helmond Sport 37.1 versus FC Volendam 50.3, a gap of 13.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 6.00, over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 68%.
- First goal: Leans Helmond Sport's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Helmond Sport at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Helmond Sport's way, especially at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Helmond Sport or FC Volendam?
Helmond Sport, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Helmond Sport, 20% the draw and 23% FC Volendam.
When and where is Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam being played?
6 November 2026 at GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Helmond Sport and FC Volendam met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Helmond Sport and FC Volendam?
Helmond Sport have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), FC Volendam 7 from theirs (LLWDW). Most recently Helmond Sport took a 3-2 win at home to FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam a 1-2 defeat at home to De Graafschap.
How many goals are expected in Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam?
The model's combined scoring line is 6.00 — 3.40 for Helmond Sport and 2.60 for FC Volendam. It rates over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 68%, so its call is yes.