Heracles vs Roda — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Heracles the pick at 51% for Heracles vs Roda. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Heracles host Roda on 6 November 2026 at Asito Stadium, Almelo. Heracles are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Heracles - Roda. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Heracles: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 3.0 and 1.33 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.4 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +23.
Roda: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Heracles | Roda |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 4th |
| Goal difference | +23 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWD | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 5 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 3.0 / 1.33 | 1.33 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.17 | 2.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.4 | 59.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Heracles 67.4 versus Roda 59.6, a gap of 7.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Heracles' way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Heracles at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Heracles's way, especially at Asito Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Heracles or Roda?
Heracles, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Heracles, 20% the draw and 29% Roda.
When and where is Heracles vs Roda being played?
6 November 2026 at Asito Stadium, Almelo, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Heracles and Roda met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Heracles and Roda?
Heracles have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWWD), Roda 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Heracles took a 0-1 defeat away at De Treffers and Roda a 2-1 win at home to Jong AZ.
How many goals are expected in Heracles vs Roda?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 2.80 for Heracles and 1.60 for Roda. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.