Jong AZ vs Almere City FC match summary and prediction — Eerste Divisie
There is barely anything between Jong AZ and Almere City FC on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Jong AZ face Almere City FC on 6 November 2026 at AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer. Jong AZ are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Jong AZ - Almere City FC. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Jong AZ: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 14 conceded in six matches, 2.5 and 2.33 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +4.
Almere City FC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.5 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Jong AZ | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +4 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLW | WWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 12 | 10 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.5 / 2.33 | 1.83 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 58.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 37% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Jong AZ 49.3 versus Almere City FC 58.5, a gap of 9.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Almere City FC's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Jong AZ is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Jong AZ's way, especially at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Jong AZ or Almere City FC?
Jong AZ, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Jong AZ, 22% the draw and 37% Almere City FC.
When and where is Jong AZ vs Almere City FC being played?
6 November 2026 at AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Jong AZ and Almere City FC?
Jong AZ 3-4 Almere City FC on 26 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Jong AZ and Almere City FC?
Jong AZ have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDLW), Almere City FC 9 from theirs (WWLLW). Most recently Jong AZ took a 1-2 defeat away at Roda and Almere City FC a 2-1 win away at Waalwijk.
How many goals are expected in Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 3.00 for Jong AZ and 2.00 for Almere City FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.