FC OSS vs Waalwijk match summary and prediction — Eerste Divisie
Our model makes Waalwijk the pick at 52% for FC OSS vs Waalwijk. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Waalwijk travel to FC OSS on 6 November 2026 at Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss. Waalwijk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as FC OSS - Waalwijk. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC OSS: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 29 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -1.
Waalwijk: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 27 conceded in 19 matches, 2.16 and 1.42 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC OSS | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | LDDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 8 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.41 / 1.71 | 2.16 / 1.42 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.24 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.1 | 35.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 52% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC OSS 48.1 versus Waalwijk 35.8, a gap of 12.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans Waalwijk's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Waalwijk at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. FC OSS's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC OSS or Waalwijk?
Waalwijk, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 25% FC OSS, 23% the draw and 52% Waalwijk.
When and where is FC OSS vs Waalwijk being played?
6 November 2026 at Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC OSS and Waalwijk?
Waalwijk 2-0 FC OSS on 30 January 2026.
What is the recent form of FC OSS and Waalwijk?
FC OSS have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Waalwijk 3 from theirs (LDDDL). Most recently FC OSS took a 2-1 win away at PEC Zwolle and Waalwijk a 1-2 defeat at home to Almere City FC.
How many goals are expected in FC OSS vs Waalwijk?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for FC OSS and 1.40 for Waalwijk. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.