VVV Venlo vs Jong PSV U21: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes VVV Venlo the pick at 49% for VVV Venlo vs Jong PSV U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Jong PSV U21 travel to VVV Venlo on 6 November 2026 at Seacon - De Koel, Venlo. VVV Venlo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as VVV Venlo - Jong PSV U21. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
VVV Venlo: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +15.
Jong PSV U21: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 21 conceded in 17 matches, 1.41 and 1.24 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | VVV Venlo | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 12th |
| Goal difference | +15 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDW | WWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 9 | 11 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.41 / 1.53 | 1.41 / 1.24 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.06 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 72.1 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 33% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: VVV Venlo 72.1 versus Jong PSV U21 41.2, a gap of 30.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans VVV Venlo's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to VVV Venlo at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts VVV Venlo's way, especially at Seacon - De Koel.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: VVV Venlo or Jong PSV U21?
VVV Venlo, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% VVV Venlo, 18% the draw and 33% Jong PSV U21.
When and where is VVV Venlo vs Jong PSV U21 being played?
6 November 2026 at Seacon - De Koel, Venlo, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between VVV Venlo and Jong PSV U21?
Jong PSV U21 1-0 VVV Venlo on 06 April 2026.
What is the recent form of VVV Venlo and Jong PSV U21?
VVV Venlo have taken 10 points from their last five (WLWDW), Jong PSV U21 7 from theirs (WWLDL). Most recently VVV Venlo took a 2-1 win away at MVV and Jong PSV U21 a 7-0 win away at Ipswich Town U21.
How many goals are expected in VVV Venlo vs Jong PSV U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.20 for VVV Venlo and 2.00 for Jong PSV U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.