Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Den Bosch the pick at 52% for Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Den Bosch face Jong Utrecht on 7 November 2026 at De Vliert. Den Bosch are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Den Bosch: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 2.33 and 1.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.2 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Jong Utrecht: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 13 conceded in six matches, 2.5 and 2.17 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Den Bosch | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 20th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 6 | 8 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.33 / 1.83 | 2.5 / 2.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.2 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Den Bosch 62.2 versus Jong Utrecht 32.2, a gap of 29.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.40, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Den Bosch's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Den Bosch at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Den Bosch's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Den Bosch's way, especially at De Vliert.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Den Bosch or Jong Utrecht?
Den Bosch, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Den Bosch, 18% the draw and 30% Jong Utrecht.
When and where is Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht being played?
7 November 2026 at De Vliert, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Den Bosch and Jong Utrecht?
Den Bosch 1-1 Jong Utrecht on 20 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Den Bosch and Jong Utrecht?
Den Bosch have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), Jong Utrecht 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Den Bosch took a 5-0 win away at Emmen and Jong Utrecht a 3-2 win at home to Dordrecht.
How many goals are expected in Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.40 — 2.60 for Den Bosch and 2.80 for Jong Utrecht. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.