Emmen vs MVV match summary and prediction — Eerste Divisie
Our model makes Emmen the pick at 59% for Emmen vs MVV. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Emmen face MVV on 8 November 2026 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen. Emmen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 14 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Emmen - MVV. Kick-off is 15:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Emmen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.67 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +2.
MVV: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 18 conceded in seven matches, 1.0 and 2.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Emmen | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | LLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 4 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.83 / 1.67 | 1.0 / 2.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 0.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.8 | 25.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Emmen 58.8 versus MVV 25.3, a gap of 33.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Emmen's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Emmen at 59%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. Emmen's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Emmen's way, especially at De Oude Meerdijk.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Emmen or MVV?
Emmen, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Emmen, 22% the draw and 19% MVV.
When and where is Emmen vs MVV being played?
8 November 2026 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen, kick-off 15:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Emmen and MVV?
Emmen 2-1 MVV on 06 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Emmen and MVV?
Emmen have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), MVV 1 from theirs (LLDLL). Most recently Emmen took a 0-5 defeat at home to Den Bosch and MVV a 1-2 defeat at home to VVV Venlo.
How many goals are expected in Emmen vs MVV?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 2.00 for Emmen and 0.80 for MVV. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.