NAC Breda vs Emmen: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes NAC Breda the pick at 55% for NAC Breda vs Emmen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
NAC Breda host Emmen on 14 November 2026 at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda. NAC Breda are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 15 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as NAC Breda - Emmen. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
NAC Breda: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.9 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Emmen: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.0 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | NAC Breda | Emmen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWDW | LLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 2 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.57 / 1.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.9 | 55.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: NAC Breda 62.9 versus Emmen 55.0, a gap of 7.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans NAC Breda's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to NAC Breda at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. NAC Breda's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts NAC Breda's way, especially at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NAC Breda or Emmen?
NAC Breda, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% NAC Breda, 24% the draw and 21% Emmen.
When and where is NAC Breda vs Emmen being played?
14 November 2026 at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have NAC Breda and Emmen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of NAC Breda and Emmen?
NAC Breda have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWDW), Emmen 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently NAC Breda took a 0-0 draw away at Dordrecht and Emmen a 0-2 defeat at home to MVV.
How many goals are expected in NAC Breda vs Emmen?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for NAC Breda and 1.00 for Emmen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.