De Graafschap vs FC OSS — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes De Graafschap the pick at 60% for De Graafschap vs FC OSS. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
De Graafschap host FC OSS on 14 November 2026 at De Vijverberg, Doetinchem. De Graafschap are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 15 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as De Graafschap - FC OSS. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
De Graafschap: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.2 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -10.
FC OSS: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 14 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | De Graafschap | FC OSS |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDL | DLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.67 | 1.29 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 0.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.2 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: De Graafschap 49.2 versus FC OSS 40.9, a gap of 8.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans De Graafschap's way at 63%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards De Graafschap at 60%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. FC OSS's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts De Graafschap's way, especially at De Vijverberg.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: De Graafschap or FC OSS?
De Graafschap, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% De Graafschap, 20% the draw and 20% FC OSS.
When and where is De Graafschap vs FC OSS being played?
14 November 2026 at De Vijverberg, Doetinchem, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have De Graafschap and FC OSS met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of De Graafschap and FC OSS?
De Graafschap have taken 4 points from their last four (WLDL), FC OSS 5 from theirs (DLWDL). Most recently De Graafschap took a 2-1 win away at FC Volendam and FC OSS a 1-1 draw at home to Waalwijk.
How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for De Graafschap and 1.40 for FC OSS. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.