Dordrecht vs Heracles — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Heracles the pick at 46% for Dordrecht vs Heracles. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Heracles travel to Dordrecht on 14 November 2026 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. Heracles are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 15 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Dordrecht - Heracles. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dordrecht: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 19 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 2.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -16.
Heracles: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 9 conceded in eight matches, 3.12 and 1.12 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 75.6 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +29.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dordrecht | Heracles |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -16 | +29 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLW | WWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 13 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.71 / 2.71 | 3.12 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.57 | 2.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.3 | 75.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 46% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Dordrecht 34.3 versus Heracles 75.6, a gap of 41.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 17 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Heracles' way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Heracles at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Heracles' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dordrecht or Heracles?
Heracles, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 32% Dordrecht, 22% the draw and 46% Heracles.
When and where is Dordrecht vs Heracles being played?
14 November 2026 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Dordrecht and Heracles met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dordrecht and Heracles?
Dordrecht have taken 4 points from their last five (DLLLW), Heracles 10 from theirs (WWLDW). Most recently Dordrecht took a 0-0 draw at home to NAC Breda and Heracles a 5-1 win at home to Roda.
How many goals are expected in Dordrecht vs Heracles?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.40 for Dordrecht and 2.60 for Heracles. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.