Roda vs FC Volendam — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Roda the pick at 58% for Roda vs FC Volendam. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Volendam travel to Roda on 14 November 2026 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade. Roda are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 15 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as Roda - FC Volendam. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Roda: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.6 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
FC Volendam: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 20 conceded in eight matches, 2.62 and 2.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Roda | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +1 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 14 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.43 | 2.62 / 2.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.86 | 1.25 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.6 | 60.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Roda 58.6 versus FC Volendam 60.6, a gap of 2.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans Roda's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Roda at 58%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Roda's way, especially at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Roda or FC Volendam?
Roda, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Roda, 20% the draw and 23% FC Volendam.
When and where is Roda vs FC Volendam being played?
14 November 2026 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Roda and FC Volendam met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Roda and FC Volendam?
Roda have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), FC Volendam 7 from theirs (WLLWD). Most recently Roda took a 1-5 defeat away at Heracles and FC Volendam a 3-2 win away at Helmond Sport.
How many goals are expected in Roda vs FC Volendam?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 1.60 for Roda and 2.80 for FC Volendam. It rates over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.