VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven match summary and prediction — Eerste Divisie
Our model makes VVV Venlo the pick at 51% for VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
VVV Venlo face FC Eindhoven on 14 November 2026 at Seacon - De Koel, Venlo. VVV Venlo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 15 fixture in Eerste Divisie is listed as VVV Venlo - FC Eindhoven. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
VVV Venlo: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 15 conceded in seven matches, 2.14 and 2.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +15.
FC Eindhoven: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 21.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | VVV Venlo | FC Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 20th |
| Goal difference | +15 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWD | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 10 | 8 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.14 / 2.14 | 1.57 / 1.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.4 | 21.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: VVV Venlo 65.4 versus FC Eindhoven 21.8, a gap of 43.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 18 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans VVV Venlo's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to VVV Venlo at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. VVV Venlo's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts VVV Venlo's way, especially at Seacon - De Koel.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: VVV Venlo or FC Eindhoven?
VVV Venlo, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% VVV Venlo, 20% the draw and 29% FC Eindhoven.
When and where is VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven being played?
14 November 2026 at Seacon - De Koel, Venlo, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between VVV Venlo and FC Eindhoven?
VVV Venlo 1-0 FC Eindhoven on 07 February 2026.
What is the recent form of VVV Venlo and FC Eindhoven?
VVV Venlo have taken 8 points from their last five (DWLWD), FC Eindhoven 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently VVV Venlo took a 1-1 draw at home to Jong PSV U21 and FC Eindhoven a 0-3 defeat at home to Jong Ajax.
How many goals are expected in VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for VVV Venlo and 2.00 for FC Eindhoven. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.