PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes PEC Zwolle the pick at 63% for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
PEC Zwolle face Feyenoord on 13 September 2026 at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. PEC Zwolle are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 6 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as PEC Zwolle - Feyenoord. Kick-off is 14:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
PEC Zwolle: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 27 conceded in 13 matches, 1.31 and 2.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Feyenoord: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 30 conceded in 21 matches, 1.57 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | PEC Zwolle | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -4 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWLL | LWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 13 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 13 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.31 / 2.08 | 1.57 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.43 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.3 | 63.2 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 12 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 6% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: PEC Zwolle 37.3 versus Feyenoord 63.2, a gap of 25.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Feyenoord carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to six.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 13% and both teams to score at 37%.
- First goal: Leans PEC Zwolle's way at 72%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards PEC Zwolle at 63%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. Feyenoord's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts PEC Zwolle's way, especially at MAC³PARK Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: PEC Zwolle or Feyenoord?
PEC Zwolle, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% PEC Zwolle, 31% the draw and 6% Feyenoord.
When and where is PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord being played?
13 September 2026 at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle, kick-off 14:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord?
PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord?
PEC Zwolle have taken 4 points from their last five (DLWLL), Feyenoord 8 from theirs (LWDWD). Most recently PEC Zwolle took a 2-2 draw away at Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord a 1-5 defeat away at Barcelona.
How many goals are expected in PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.00 for PEC Zwolle and 1.20 for Feyenoord. It rates over 2.5 goals at 13%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 37%, so its call is no.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for PEC Zwolle and twelve for Feyenoord at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.