Willem II vs Cambuur: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Willem II and Cambuur on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Willem II host Cambuur on 24 October 2026 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. Cambuur are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 10 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as Willem II - Cambuur. Kick-off is 16:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Willem II: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 19 conceded in 18 matches, 1.83 and 1.06 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.1 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -17.
Cambuur: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 25 conceded in 17 matches, 1.82 and 1.47 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Willem II | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -17 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | DWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 13 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.83 / 1.06 | 1.82 / 1.47 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.0 | 1.82 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.1 | 53.0 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Willem II 24.1 versus Cambuur 53.0, a gap of 28.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Cambuur's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Cambuur is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. Cambuur's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Willem II or Cambuur?
Cambuur, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 33% Willem II, 31% the draw and 37% Cambuur.
When and where is Willem II vs Cambuur being played?
24 October 2026 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Have Willem II and Cambuur met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Willem II and Cambuur?
Willem II have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Cambuur 9 from theirs (DWDWD). Most recently Willem II took a 2-3 defeat away at Sparta Rotterdam and Cambuur a 2-2 draw at home to AZ Alkmaar.
How many goals are expected in Willem II vs Cambuur?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for Willem II and 1.80 for Cambuur. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Willem II and eight for Cambuur at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.