ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes ADO Den Haag the pick at 51% for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Heerenveen travel to ADO Den Haag on 24 October 2026 at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. ADO Den Haag are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 10 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as ADO Den Haag - Heerenveen. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
ADO Den Haag: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 16 conceded in 18 matches, 1.89 and 0.89 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.4 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -9.
Heerenveen: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 30 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -9 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLL | WLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.89 / 0.89 | 1.56 / 1.67 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.06 | 1.56 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.4 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 2 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: ADO Den Haag 39.4 versus Heerenveen 49.3, a gap of 9.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans ADO Den Haag's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to ADO Den Haag at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts ADO Den Haag's way, especially at Bingoal Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: ADO Den Haag or Heerenveen?
ADO Den Haag, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% ADO Den Haag, 23% the draw and 26% Heerenveen.
When and where is ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen being played?
24 October 2026 at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen?
ADO Den Haag have taken 5 points from their last five (WDDLL), Heerenveen 7 from theirs (WLWDL). Most recently ADO Den Haag took a 2-1 win at home to PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen a 4-0 win at home to Excelsior.
How many goals are expected in ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.00 for ADO Den Haag and 1.00 for Heerenveen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for ADO Den Haag and two for Heerenveen at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.