Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Feyenoord the pick at 72% for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fortuna Sittard travel to Feyenoord on 31 October 2026 at Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam. Feyenoord are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 72%. This matchday 11 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Feyenoord: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 30 conceded in 21 matches, 1.57 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.6 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +21.
Fortuna Sittard: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 36 conceded in 17 matches, 1.59 and 2.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Feyenoord | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 6th |
| Goal difference | +21 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWW | DWDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.57 / 1.43 | 1.59 / 2.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 73.6 | 51.7 |
| Players unavailable | 12 | 2 |
| Model win probability | 72% | 10% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Feyenoord 73.6 versus Fortuna Sittard 51.7, a gap of 21.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Feyenoord carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to two.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Feyenoord's way at 73%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Feyenoord at 72%, a gap of 55 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Feyenoord's way, especially at Stadion Feijenoord.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Feyenoord or Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord, with an implied win probability of roughly 72%. The full split is 72% Feyenoord, 17% the draw and 10% Fortuna Sittard.
When and where is Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Feyenoord and Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Feyenoord on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Feyenoord and Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord have taken 10 points from their last five (DLWWW), Fortuna Sittard 9 from theirs (DWDDW). Most recently Feyenoord took a 1-1 draw away at PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard a 2-2 draw away at Sparta Rotterdam.
How many goals are expected in Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 2.60 for Feyenoord and 1.80 for Fortuna Sittard. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists twelve players unavailable for Feyenoord and two for Fortuna Sittard at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.