PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes ADO Den Haag the pick at 46% for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
PEC Zwolle face ADO Den Haag on 1 November 2026 at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. ADO Den Haag are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 11 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as PEC Zwolle - ADO Den Haag. Kick-off is 11:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
PEC Zwolle: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 27 conceded in 13 matches, 1.31 and 2.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -12.
ADO Den Haag: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 16 conceded in 18 matches, 1.89 and 0.89 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.2 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | PEC Zwolle | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLL | DLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 13 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.31 / 2.08 | 1.89 / 0.89 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 2.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.3 | 39.2 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 46% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: PEC Zwolle 35.3 versus ADO Den Haag 39.2, a gap of 3.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans ADO Den Haag's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to ADO Den Haag at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. ADO Den Haag's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: PEC Zwolle or ADO Den Haag?
ADO Den Haag, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 31% PEC Zwolle, 23% the draw and 46% ADO Den Haag.
When and where is PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag being played?
1 November 2026 at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle, kick-off 11:15 UTC.
Have PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag?
PEC Zwolle have taken 4 points from their last five (LDWLL), ADO Den Haag 6 from theirs (DLWDD). Most recently PEC Zwolle took a 1-2 defeat at home to FC OSS and ADO Den Haag a 1-1 draw away at Excelsior '31.
How many goals are expected in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for PEC Zwolle and 1.40 for ADO Den Haag. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for PEC Zwolle and four for ADO Den Haag at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.