Telstar vs Utrecht: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Utrecht the pick at 39% for Telstar vs Utrecht. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Telstar host Utrecht on 1 November 2026 at Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen. Utrecht are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 11 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as Telstar - Utrecht. Kick-off is 13:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Telstar: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.4 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -9.
Utrecht: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Telstar | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDL | WDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 12 | 7 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1.57 / 1.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.83 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.4 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 12 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 39% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Telstar 29.4 versus Utrecht 55.8, a gap of 26.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Utrecht carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to no.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Utrecht's way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards Utrecht at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Utrecht's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Telstar or Utrecht?
Utrecht, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 33% Telstar, 27% the draw and 39% Utrecht.
When and where is Telstar vs Utrecht being played?
1 November 2026 at Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Telstar and Utrecht?
Utrecht 4-1 Telstar on 11 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Telstar and Utrecht?
Telstar have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLDL), Utrecht 10 from theirs (WDWWL). Most recently Telstar took a 0-2 defeat at home to Almere City FC and Utrecht a 1-0 win away at Kozakken Boys.
How many goals are expected in Telstar vs Utrecht?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 0.80 for Telstar and 1.80 for Utrecht. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists no players unavailable for Telstar and twelve for Utrecht at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.