Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Telstar the pick at 38% for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fortuna Sittard face Telstar on 7 November 2026 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard. Telstar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as Fortuna Sittard - Telstar. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Fortuna Sittard: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 14 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.0 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
Telstar: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Fortuna Sittard | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 16th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWDD | WLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 11 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.71 / 2.0 | 1.43 / 1.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.0 | 36.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Fortuna Sittard 55.0 versus Telstar 36.6, a gap of 18.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Telstar's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Telstar at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Fortuna Sittard's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fortuna Sittard or Telstar?
Telstar, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 32% Fortuna Sittard, 30% the draw and 38% Telstar.
When and where is Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar being played?
7 November 2026 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fortuna Sittard and Telstar?
Fortuna Sittard 1-4 Telstar on 08 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Sittard and Telstar?
Fortuna Sittard have taken 7 points from their last five (DDWDD), Telstar 4 from theirs (WLLLD). Most recently Fortuna Sittard took a 1-1 draw away at Feyenoord and Telstar a 4-2 win at home to Utrecht.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.20 for Telstar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.