ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes ADO Den Haag the pick at 56% for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
ADO Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam on 7 November 2026 at WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag. ADO Den Haag are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as ADO Den Haag - Sparta Rotterdam. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
ADO Den Haag: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 16 conceded in 18 matches, 1.89 and 0.89 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.9 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -11.
Sparta Rotterdam: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 26 conceded in 16 matches, 1.31 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | ADO Den Haag | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | WDLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 12 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.89 / 0.89 | 1.31 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.06 | 1.25 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.9 | 46.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: ADO Den Haag 38.9 versus Sparta Rotterdam 46.8, a gap of 7.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 67%.
- First goal: Leans ADO Den Haag's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards ADO Den Haag at 56%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. Sparta Rotterdam's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts ADO Den Haag's way, especially at WerkTalent Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: ADO Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam?
ADO Den Haag, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% ADO Den Haag, 21% the draw and 23% Sparta Rotterdam.
When and where is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam being played?
7 November 2026 at WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam?
ADO Den Haag have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Sparta Rotterdam 8 from theirs (WDLWD). Most recently ADO Den Haag took a 0-1 defeat away at PEC Zwolle and Sparta Rotterdam a 3-2 win away at Groningen.
How many goals are expected in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 0.80 for ADO Den Haag and 1.80 for Sparta Rotterdam. It rates over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 67%, so its call is yes.