Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
NEC Nijmegen travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026 at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht. Utrecht are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eredivisie is listed as Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Utrecht: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 15 conceded in eight matches, 1.62 and 1.88 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.3 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -12.
NEC Nijmegen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 18 conceded in ten matches, 1.4 and 1.8 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWW | LDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.62 / 1.88 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.38 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.3 | 37.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Utrecht 45.3 versus NEC Nijmegen 37.8, a gap of 7.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans NEC Nijmegen's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. Utrecht is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Utrecht's way, especially at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Utrecht or NEC Nijmegen?
Utrecht, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Utrecht, 24% the draw and 36% NEC Nijmegen.
When and where is Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen being played?
8 November 2026 at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Utrecht on 11 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen?
Utrecht have taken 10 points from their last five (LWDWW), NEC Nijmegen 6 from theirs (LDWDD). Most recently Utrecht took a 2-4 defeat away at Telstar and NEC Nijmegen a 0-1 defeat away at Heerenveen.
How many goals are expected in Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for Utrecht and 1.60 for NEC Nijmegen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.