Rodez vs Grenoble — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Rodez and Grenoble on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Grenoble travel to Rodez on 11 September 2026 at Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez. Rodez are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 6 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Rodez - Grenoble. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Rodez: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 17 conceded in 18 matches, 1.61 and 0.94 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Grenoble: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 15 conceded in 16 matches, 0.88 and 0.94 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rodez | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 16th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLW | LWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 11 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.61 / 0.94 | 0.88 / 0.94 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.22 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 12% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Rodez 48.3 versus Grenoble 37.3, a gap of 11.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.17, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 37%.
- First goal: Leans Rodez's way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Rodez is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. Rodez's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rodez's way, especially at Stade Paul-Lignon.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rodez or Grenoble?
Rodez, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Rodez, 42% the draw and 12% Grenoble.
When and where is Rodez vs Grenoble being played?
11 September 2026 at Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Rodez and Grenoble?
Rodez 1-0 Grenoble on 06 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Rodez and Grenoble?
Rodez have taken 7 points from their last five (LDWLW), Grenoble 4 from theirs (LWLDL). Most recently Rodez took a 1-4 defeat away at Metz and Grenoble a 1-2 defeat at home to Annecy.
How many goals are expected in Rodez vs Grenoble?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.17 — 2.50 for Rodez and 0.67 for Grenoble. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 37%, so its call is no.