Clermont Foot vs Guingamp: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Clermont Foot the pick at 55% for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Guingamp travel to Clermont Foot on 23 October 2026 at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand. Clermont Foot are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Clermont Foot - Guingamp. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Clermont Foot: they come in on the back of a draw, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 22 conceded in 16 matches, 1.38 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -3.
Guingamp: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 20 conceded in 17 matches, 0.82 and 1.18 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Clermont Foot | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLDD | LLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 11 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.38 / 1.38 | 0.82 / 1.18 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 9% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 30%.
- First goal: Leans Clermont Foot's way at 73%.
The call
The model tilts to Clermont Foot at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Clermont Foot's way, especially at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Clermont Foot or Guingamp?
Clermont Foot, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Clermont Foot, 36% the draw and 9% Guingamp.
When and where is Clermont Foot vs Guingamp being played?
23 October 2026 at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Clermont Foot and Guingamp?
Clermont Foot 1-0 Guingamp on 09 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Clermont Foot and Guingamp?
Clermont Foot have taken 3 points from their last five (DLLDD), Guingamp 6 from theirs (LLWLW). Most recently Clermont Foot took a 3-3 draw away at Laval and Guingamp a 1-2 defeat at home to PAU.
How many goals are expected in Clermont Foot vs Guingamp?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.60 for Clermont Foot and 0.80 for Guingamp. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 30%, so its call is no.