Dijon vs Rodez match summary and prediction — Ligue 2
Our model makes Rodez the pick at 50% for Dijon vs Rodez. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Dijon face Rodez on 24 October 2026 at Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon. Rodez are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Dijon - Rodez. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dijon: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0.
Rodez: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.2 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dijon | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 17th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWW | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 11 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.3 | 23.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 50% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Dijon 58.3 versus Rodez 23.2, a gap of 35.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.07, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Rodez's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to Rodez at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Dijon's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dijon or Rodez?
Rodez, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 22% Dijon, 28% the draw and 50% Rodez.
When and where is Dijon vs Rodez being played?
24 October 2026 at Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Dijon and Rodez met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dijon and Rodez?
Dijon have taken 10 points from their last five (LWDWW), Rodez 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Dijon took a 2-4 defeat away at Reims and Rodez a 0-3 defeat at home to Montpellier.
How many goals are expected in Dijon vs Rodez?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.07 — 1.67 for Dijon and 1.40 for Rodez. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.